Hard-won tactics on hiring, retention, and cost-per-hire from 500+ fleets.

When freight is slow, recruit for fit and timing, not volume. A soft market brings more people to your ads, but fewer of them are the experienced, settled drivers you want. Those drivers stay put when the market feels shaky. So the move is to hire fewer, better drivers now and build your bench before freight turns. The turn looks close. The Spring 2026 Truck Driver Survey from Conversion Interactive Agency and People. Data. Analytics found 58.1% of drivers looking for a new job, up from 46.8% a year earlier. In May 2026, Americas Commercial Transportation Research (ACT Research) put truckload spot rates up about 30% year over year. Looking is not moving. Drivers browse in a soft market, but they only switch for a clear reason. Give them one before every other fleet starts competing for them again.
Most fleet owners treat a slow freight market as a break from recruiting. The trucks are not all running, so why hire? That thinking feels safe. It is also how fleets end up scrambling when freight picks up and every carrier chases the same drivers in the same month.
A slow market does not make recruiting easier. It changes what is hard about it. Here is what shifts and what it means for your fleet.
| What changes | What it means for you |
|---|---|
| More people answer your ads | Quality drops. Many of the new responses come from drivers who were let go or who move often. |
| Experienced drivers stay put | The drivers you most want are in stable seats and see little reason to take a risk. |
| Pay raises are hard to fund | You cannot outbid the market, so fit, freight, and schedule have to do the work. |
| Turnover looks quieter | Nobody solved it. Drivers who wanted to leave are waiting for a better market. |
In May 2026, National Transportation Institute (NTI) chief executive Leah Shaver described the problem. She said many experienced drivers are already in relatively stable positions, with too little incentive in the current market to change companies. At the 2026 National Private Truck Council conference, about 75% of private fleet executives said hiring drivers had become harder, even with freight soft.
The quiet does not last. Scott Dismuke of People. Data. Analytics warned of "massive driver churn" after the economy recovers from the freight recession. Shaver expects competition for experienced drivers to heat up after the market fully turns.
Recruiting also takes time. Finding, vetting, and seating a qualified driver often takes 30 to 90 days. If you start recruiting on the day you need the truck to run, you are already weeks late. By then you are bidding against every fleet that waited with you.
The signs point to a tightening market. NTI's 2026 Driver Market Forecast reported that 2025 saw a 5% decline in drivers in the for hire interstate segment. Tenstreet chief executive Tim Crawford has said he sees many signs that driver capacity is tightening.
The first budget many fleets cut in a slow market is recruiting. It looks like savings. It usually costs more later.
An empty truck costs a small fleet roughly $3,000 to $5,000 a week in lost revenue. When freight comes back and you have trucks without drivers, every week of scrambling adds up fast. The fleets that keep a small, steady recruiting effort through the slow months seat their trucks first when the market turns.
GTD does not depend on who happens to answer an ad in a given month. Roughly 92% of qualified drivers are not on job boards, because they are already working. That matters most in a soft market, when the settled drivers you want are the least likely to go looking. GTD identifies those drivers and matches them against your lanes, your real weekly pay, your home time, and your equipment before anyone reaches out. The driver who takes your call already knows why your seat beats theirs. In one month long search GTD identified 7,473 qualified drivers against a single fleet's criteria. First qualified interviews typically land in 7 to 10 days, and seats fill in 30 to 90 days. GTD works for free until your fleet fills its seats. Because these drivers moved toward a seat that fits their life, fewer of them leave. Drivers seated this way stay at 86%, compared with 67% through traditional channels.
Yes, if you hire for fit instead of volume. More people answer ads when freight is soft, which gives you room to be selective. The best drivers are harder to move, though, because they are in stable seats. Use the slow period to hire fewer, better drivers and to build a bench before the market turns.
Experienced drivers stay put when the market feels uncertain. NTI chief executive Leah Shaver said in May 2026 that many experienced drivers are in stable positions and see too little incentive to change companies. About 75% of private fleet executives at the 2026 National Private Truck Council conference said hiring had become harder. The drivers who show up first in a soft market are often not the ones you want.
Be careful. In the Spring 2026 Truck Driver Survey from Conversion Interactive and People. Data. Analytics, pay inconsistency ranked as the top short term turnover risk at 27.1%. Cutting pay or changing pay rules in a slow month tells drivers their paycheck can move at any time. When the market turns, those are the drivers who leave first.
The signs suggest it has started. In May 2026, ACT Research reported truckload spot rates up about 30% year over year. NTI's 2026 Driver Market Forecast reported that 2025 saw a 5% decline in drivers in the for hire interstate segment. The share of drivers looking for a new job climbed to 58.1% in Spring 2026, up from 46.8% a year earlier.
Hire to the freight you can keep moving at steady miles for the next 90 days, not to your total truck count. Then keep talking to qualified drivers for the seats you expect to open next. That way you add capacity as freight returns instead of all at once.
Fleets cut cost-per-hire and raise retention with AI Recruiting




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